VesterGed — Polymarket wallet 0xf0b9…0edd
#86 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0xf0b930501a7d61b7de0c64b403dfe85189360edd
Skill verdict
24/100 · Early signal (all-time)
Last 90 days: 24/100 · Early signal
Best category: Sports — edge +11.0¢ per $1 share (95% low −0.7¢) over n=321 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 0.86 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A”
Bought G2 Esports at 30.4¢ · stake $2.8k · profit $7.4k · resolved March 20, 2026
“LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner”
Bought G2 Esports at 23.0¢ · stake $2.0k · profit $6.5k · resolved March 21, 2026
“LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner”
Bought G2 Esports at 23.9¢ · stake $1.3k · profit $5.0k · resolved March 21, 2026
Category track record
| Category | Window | Edge / $1 | 95% CI | n resolved | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 90d | +11.0¢ | −0.7¢ … +20.5¢ | 321 | $96.7k |
Activity
118 resolved markets · total cost basis $173.3k · last trade June 6, 2026
Realized PnL $22.1k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
Follow VesterGed in real time
Get a Telegram alert the moment this wallet opens or closes a position — free to start, no card required.
Start on Telegram →FAQ
Is VesterGed a skilled Polymarket trader?
VesterGed (0xf0b930501a7d61b7de0c64b403dfe85189360edd) ranks #86 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 24/100 (Early signal) across 118 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).