#polymarket#guides
How to Analyze a Polymarket Wallet in 5 Minutes
A 5-minute forensics checklist for any Polymarket wallet: edge, confidence bound, sample size, category focus, recency — and the red flags that mean luck.
5 min read
The Radar Log
Notes on smart money
How we score skill on Polymarket, what the data says about edge, and the market structure behind the leaderboard.
#polymarket#guides
Copy Trading on Polymarket: What Works and What's a Trap
Copy trading on Polymarket can work — if you copy skill, not screenshots. What the data says about following top wallets, and the traps that drain accounts.
·5 min read
#polymarket#guides
How to Track Polymarket Whales in Real Time (2026 Guide)
A practical 2026 guide to Polymarket whale watching: which wallets matter, the tools that track them, and why size without skill is noise.
·5 min read
#polymarket#smart-money
The Top Polymarket Traders of 2026, Ranked by Skill (Not PnL)
Who are the best Polymarket traders in 2026? The top wallets ranked by statistical skill — confidence intervals and receipts included, not PnL screenshots.
·5 min read
#methodology#smart-money
What Is Smart Money on Polymarket? A Forensic Definition
Smart money on Polymarket, defined precisely: wallets that systematically buy below fair value. How to measure it, and how to separate skill from luck.
·5 min read
#methodology#polymarket
Why PnL Lies About Skill
Raw profit rewards size and luck, not edge. Here is why we rank Polymarket wallets by value-weighted excess hit rate instead.
·4 min read
#market-structure#polymarket
The 1% Who Own 76% of Polymarket
Profit on Polymarket is extraordinarily concentrated. We break down who the top wallets are, how they trade, and why it matters for everyone else.
·3 min read