Inside information
Sources close to the outcome who know the answer before the market does. Concentration flags and suspicious timing reveal them.
High EHR · Low trade count · Single marketLive · May 2026Akey-Grégoire 2026 · 123GB dataset · 7.2M wallets
1% of walletsown 76% ofPolymarket profits.
We find them, score them with published math, and alert you the moment they move.
Free forever · 1 wallet · No card required
0%
The Concentration Problem
Source · Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau, SSRN 6443103 · Sample · Nov 2022 – Mar 2026
A few wallets share own everything.
Across $4.2B of resolved Polymarket volume, the top 1% of profitable wallets captured 76.5% of all positive PnL. The top 0.1% — just 450 wallets — captured 43% on their own. The other 99% mostly bleed.
Source · Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau, SSRN 6443103 · Sample · Nov 2022 – Mar 2026Who are they? · The three archetypes
Three ways to consistently win
There are only three explanations for sustained outperformance in a near-zero-sum market. The academic literature confirms each one. We help you follow the wallets that exhibit them.
Smart strategy
Better models and faster news. They don't know the future — they price it more accurately than the rest of the market.
Stable EHR · Diversified · PersistentAutomated systems
Market-making bots quoting thousands of contracts, earning the spread on everyone else across millions of fills.
82% maker · 1.7M trades · 44,810 marketsHow WalletRadar works
Track. Score. Alert.
Three steps. No black-box AI claims. No vibecoded "Smart Score: 15.0" with hidden math. Just one published formula, applied to every wallet, refreshed nightly.
Track 7.2M wallets
Every Polymarket trade since November 2022, reconciled against on-chain Polygon CTF events. Live ingestion via WebSocket, < 5s lag from confirmation to our store.
Score by published math
Value-weighted excess hit rate EHR_vw per Akey-Grégoire 2026. Adjusted for sample confidence. Calibrated monthly against forward returns. Every wallet, every score, publicly auditable.
Real-time Telegram alerts
When a wallet you follow opens or closes a position, you get a Telegram message in ~1.4 seconds average. With forensics flags for concentration risk and timing anomalies.
it just buzzes when it matters
Akey-Grégoire 2026 · SSRN 6443103
Why this and not raw PnL
We publish the math. Audit anything.
Most "smart money" tools rank by raw PnL — a noisy metric the academic literature explicitly warns against because it rewards lucky one-shotters. We use excess hit rate, which only measures whether the wallet bet on the right side at the right price. The full methodology — formulas, calibration backtests, code — is open.
What you'll actually receive
One message per signal.
No "🚨 ALPHA LEAK 🔥". No fake urgency. One self-contained Telegram message per alert: who moved, what they bought, what we know about their track record. Forensics flags get the red treatment.
- Tier badge so you know if the wallet is actually skilled
- Position size, entry price, EHR context inline
- Forensics flags for concentration & timing anomalies
- One-tap action buttons (view market, mute, unfollow)
What you get
Everything in one quiet feed.
Real-time alerts
~1.4s from on-chain confirmation to your Telegram.
Published scoring
EHR_vw from a peer-reviewed paper. Open on GitHub — reproduce it.
Forensics flags
Concentration risk and timing anomalies, flagged inline.
Calibrated tiers
Recalibrated monthly against forward returns.
Precise filters
Filter by category, size, and market.
Non-custodial
A read-only signal pipe. We never touch your keys.
Pricing
Start free. Pay only if it pays.
Upgrade only when real-time alerts on more wallets makes you money.
Save 20%
Free
forever
Get a feel for the methodology before committing.
- 1 wallet
- 30-minute delay
- Public leaderboard
- Weekly digest
Starter
/ mo
Real-time alerts on a couple of wallets.
- 2 wallets
- Real-time (~1.4s)
- Public leaderboard
- Weekly digest
Pro
/ mo
For active traders following the cohort that matters.
- 10 wallets
- Real-time (~1.4s)
- Category & size filters
- Forensics signals
Elite
/ mo
For systematic traders running their own analysis.
- 100 wallets
- Real-time (~1.4s)
- Forensics + custom filters
- REST & webhook API
Common questions
Things people ask before signing up.
Is this legal?
Yes. We aggregate public on-chain Polymarket data and the wallet addresses are public by design. We don't trade on your behalf and we don't custody your funds. This is information about public data.
Why should I trust your scoring?
Because we publish it. The EHR_vw formula is from a peer-reviewed paper. The code is on GitHub. Our calibration receipts are updated monthly. If you don't trust the scoring, you can reproduce it.
How is this different from PolyCop and others?
Most copy-trade bots rank by raw PnL or invented "smart scores" with hidden math. We rank by peer-reviewed methodology and show our work. We also don't execute trades — we just tell you what skilled wallets are doing.
Will I make money following these wallets?
Honest answer: maybe. Past performance does not predict future results — and our calibration page shows exactly how predictive each tier is. Use this as one input among many, not as a copy-trading service.
How fresh is the data?
Trades stream in via WebSocket with under 5 seconds of lag from on-chain confirmation. Scores recompute nightly; the leaderboard refreshes once a day. Calibration backtests run monthly against forward returns.
Which chain and markets do you cover?
Polygon-based Polymarket CTF events only — every market that has settled or is currently open since November 2022. We reconcile against on-chain logs, not the Polymarket REST API, so positions are ground-truth.
Can I cancel or refund?
Cancel anytime from inside the Telegram bot — your tier downgrades at the end of the current billing period. We don't pro-rate refunds, but the free tier stays free forever so you never lose access to your followed wallets.
Do you custody funds, and what happens if a wallet I follow goes quiet?
We are non-custodial and never touch your private keys — WalletRadar is a read-only signal pipe. If a wallet you follow stops trading, you simply stop receiving alerts for it; its score stays on the leaderboard until it ages out of the rolling sample window.
● Free tier · No card required
Start with one wallet.
Open Telegram. Send /start to our bot. Follow your first wallet in 30 seconds. Upgrade anytime if real-time matters.
7.2M wallets tracked · 1.4s avg alert latency · 94% tier calibration · Math published