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zerosmart — Polymarket wallet 0x2755…5016

#1 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x275575bb11522eb29f82fe0a601d7c4dc94b5016

Skill verdict

82/100Exceptional evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Best category Politics — edge +30.9¢ per $1 share (95% low +14.6¢) over n=2694 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 4.00 · q = 0.293

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?”

Bought Yes @ 7.8¢· stake $19.8k· profit $237.0k· January 31, 2025

“Trump wins every swing state?”

Bought Yes @ 28.2¢· stake $83.1k· profit $219.9k· November 5, 2024

“Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?”

Bought Yes @ 58.7¢· stake $183.3k· profit $131.4k· November 5, 2024

Category track record

Per-category skill scores with confidence intervals
CategoryWindowEdge / $195% CInVolume
Politicsall-time+30.9¢+14.6¢ … +43.6¢2694$847.3k

Activity

Resolved markets

173

Cost basis

$1.5M

Last trade

May 27, 2026

Realized PnL

$1.2M

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is zerosmart a skilled Polymarket trader?

zerosmart (0x275575bb11522eb29f82fe0a601d7c4dc94b5016) ranks #1 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 82/100 (Exceptional evidence) across 173 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).