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Polymarket wallet 0x2728…a83c

#8 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x2728d99b2405a52db60160837e130b3ba3c1a83c

Skill verdict

35/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Best category Politics — edge +40.2¢ per $1 share (95% low −17.3¢) over n=1638 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.02 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?”

Bought Yes @ 11.6¢· stake $107.4k· profit $953.7k· November 13, 2024

“Caroline Ellison sentenced to 24-35 months in prison?”

Bought Yes @ 5.1¢· stake $2.2k· profit $41.5k· September 24, 2024

“Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?”

Bought No @ 45.1¢· stake $26.7k· profit $29.0k· November 5, 2024

Activity

Resolved markets

189

Cost basis

$2.3M

Last trade

September 29, 2025

Realized PnL

$2.2M

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x2728…a83c a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x2728d99b2405a52db60160837e130b3ba3c1a83c) ranks #8 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 35/100 (Moderate evidence) across 189 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).