Polymarket wallet 0x71e1…45f0
#3 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0x71e11e0fc20a2adf27026fbf8674b38f8ff945f0
Skill verdict
45/100 · Strong evidence (all-time)
Last 90 days: 44/100 · Strong evidence
Best category: Finance — edge +2.5¢ per $1 share (95% low −11.8¢) over n=4603 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 0.84 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?”
Bought Yes at 33.8¢ · stake $16.5k · profit $38.2k · resolved January 20, 2025
“Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?”
Bought Yes at 39.1¢ · stake $23.4k · profit $36.4k · resolved September 17, 2025
“Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?”
Bought Yes at 22.8¢ · stake $6.1k · profit $27.0k · resolved January 20, 2025
Category track record
| Category | Window | Edge / $1 | 95% CI | n resolved | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 90d | +7.3¢ | −2.1¢ … +17.9¢ | 920 | $145.2k |
Activity
376 resolved markets · total cost basis $1.4M · last trade June 8, 2026
Realized PnL $59.9k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0x71e1…45f0 a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0x71e11e0fc20a2adf27026fbf8674b38f8ff945f0) ranks #3 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 45/100 (Strong evidence) across 376 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).