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Polymarket wallet 0xa933…6077

#4 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0xa933dcd0acff00851abad8306065f6fdc9676077

Skill verdict

44/100Strong evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Calibrated-null skill z = 5.94 · q = 0.000

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?”

Bought Yes @ 2.4¢· stake $509· profit $20.9k· November 12, 2024

“Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?”

Bought No @ 83.0¢· stake $3.5k· profit $719· November 6, 2024

“Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?”

Bought No @ 72.0¢· stake $1.4k· profit $560· November 11, 2024

Activity

Resolved markets

7

Cost basis

$7.0k

Last trade

November 15, 2024

Realized PnL

$22.8k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0xa933…6077 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0xa933dcd0acff00851abad8306065f6fdc9676077) ranks #4 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 44/100 (Strong evidence) across 7 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#30x71e1…45f0#50x8857…c270#1zerosmart#2comical-3278221

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).