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Polymarket wallet 0xb1a2…372a

#102 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a

Skill verdict

32/100Moderate evidence (last 90 days)

Evidence is from the trailing 90-day window — no all-time row yet.

Best category Finance — edge +2.1¢ per $1 share (95% low −0.9¢) over n=952 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.73 · q = 0.812

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?”

Bought Yes @ 11.4¢· stake $13.5k· profit $116.0k· June 30, 2026

“US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?”

Bought Yes @ 61.0¢· stake $56.2k· profit $36.0k· June 30, 2026

“Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?”

Bought Yes @ 38.4¢· stake $17.4k· profit $31.0k· December 31, 2026

Activity

Resolved markets

53

Cost basis

$2.0M

Last trade

June 10, 2026

Realized PnL

$162.2k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0xb1a2…372a a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a) ranks #102 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 32/100 (Moderate evidence) across 53 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#1010xab1c…aadd#1030x9703…69c2#30x71e1…45f0#170xd8ca…7229

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).