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Polymarket wallet 0xab1c…aadd

#101 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0xab1ce6d9a41d618aa687222744ec30d5be94aadd

Skill verdict

35/100Moderate evidence (last 90 days)

Evidence is from the trailing 90-day window — no all-time row yet.

Best category Sports — edge +5.2¢ per $1 share (95% low −13.4¢) over n=350 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = -0.17 · q = 0.812

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics ”

Bought 76ers @ 28.8¢· stake $3.4k· profit $8.3k· May 4, 2026

“Spread: Pistons (-3.5)”

Bought Pistons @ 48.0¢· stake $3.8k· profit $4.2k· May 5, 2026

“Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5”

Bought Over @ 44.0¢· stake $1.3k· profit $1.7k· May 3, 2026

Category track record

Per-category skill scores with confidence intervals
CategoryWindowEdge / $195% CInVolume
Sports90d+5.2¢−13.4¢ … +28.7¢350$35.9k
Politics90d−10.2¢−25.6¢ … +3.1¢210$18.0k

Activity

Resolved markets

32

Cost basis

$220.8k

Last trade

June 6, 2026

Realized PnL

−$258.7k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0xab1c…aadd a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0xab1ce6d9a41d618aa687222744ec30d5be94aadd) ranks #101 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 35/100 (Moderate evidence) across 32 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

Related wallets

#100ColdW#1020xb1a2…372a#280xe015…6ffd#300x5faf…27bb

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).