Polymarket wallet 0x5faf…27bb
#30 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0x5faf6bb6a2a4272600e27a7c990f2284ab6f27bb
Skill verdict
27/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)
No 90-day evidence window yet.
Best category: Sports — edge +7.1¢ per $1 share (95% low +0.4¢) over n=721 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 1.18 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?”
Bought Yes at 17.6¢ · stake $5.9k · profit $28.3k · resolved January 26, 2025
“Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?”
Bought Yes at 6.9¢ · stake $1.5k · profit $20.6k · resolved November 11, 2024
“Texans vs. Cowboys”
Bought Texans at 77.0¢ · stake $15.2k · profit $4.5k · resolved November 26, 2024
Activity
150 resolved markets · total cost basis $1.1M · last trade February 8, 2026
Realized PnL $121.7k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0x5faf…27bb a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0x5faf6bb6a2a4272600e27a7c990f2284ab6f27bb) ranks #30 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 27/100 (Moderate evidence) across 150 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).