Polymarket wallet 0xfb79…c2c6
#36 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0xfb79181a9d9dcaceda40803c0aeb55f6c58ec2c6
Skill verdict
26/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)
No 90-day evidence window yet.
Best category: Sports — edge +6.3¢ per $1 share (95% low +1.7¢) over n=7988 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 1.88 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Bills vs. Patriots”
Bought Patriots at 44.8¢ · stake $21.6k · profit $26.8k · resolved January 12, 2025
“Eagles vs. Commanders”
Bought Commanders at 32.0¢ · stake $7.9k · profit $16.7k · resolved December 29, 2024
“Commanders vs. Lions”
Bought Commanders at 19.0¢ · stake $3.8k · profit $16.2k · resolved January 26, 2025
Activity
949 resolved markets · total cost basis $2.2M · last trade April 9, 2025
Realized PnL $280.7k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Start on Telegram →FAQ
Is wallet 0xfb79…c2c6 a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0xfb79181a9d9dcaceda40803c0aeb55f6c58ec2c6) ranks #36 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 26/100 (Moderate evidence) across 949 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).