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Polymarket wallet 0xe015…6ffd

#28 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0xe015b5a2a299167be835a2fd1e86f09c49e06ffd

Skill verdict

28/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

Last 90 days: 28/100 · Moderate evidence

Best category Sports — edge +35.5¢ per $1 share (95% low +25.2¢) over n=108 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.53 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2”

Bought B8 @ 55.0¢· stake $13.8k· profit $11.3k· June 9, 2026

“Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 162.5”

Bought Over @ 52.0¢· stake $7.8k· profit $7.2k· June 9, 2026

“LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner”

Bought Bilibili Gaming @ 62.0¢· stake $2.7k· profit $1.7k· June 6, 2026

Category track record

Per-category skill scores with confidence intervals
CategoryWindowEdge / $195% CInVolume
Sports90d+35.5¢+25.2¢ … +42.2¢108$6.9k

Activity

Resolved markets

16

Cost basis

$34.5k

Last trade

June 10, 2026

Realized PnL

$3.9k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0xe015…6ffd a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0xe015b5a2a299167be835a2fd1e86f09c49e06ffd) ranks #28 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 28/100 (Moderate evidence) across 16 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#270x41f2…eecf#290xc89f…695b#300x5faf…27bb#360xfb79…c2c6

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).