Polymarket wallet 0xc89f…695b
#29 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0xc89f0e5c198652341ba50f81dc889e0c1fe5695b
Skill verdict
28/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)
No 90-day evidence window yet.
Calibrated-null skill z = 1.28 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?”
Bought Yes at 29.0¢ · stake $1.0k · profit $2.4k · resolved November 7, 2024
“Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?”
Bought Yes at 67.6¢ · stake $2.1k · profit $992 · resolved November 15, 2024
“Will Trump win 7 swing states?”
Bought No at 21.6¢ · stake $129 · profit $487 · resolved November 6, 2024
Activity
19 resolved markets · total cost basis $9.1k · last trade November 15, 2024
Realized PnL $5.8k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0xc89f…695b a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0xc89f0e5c198652341ba50f81dc889e0c1fe5695b) ranks #29 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 28/100 (Moderate evidence) across 19 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).