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Polymarket wallet 0x41f2…eecf

#27 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x41f2899da8ccf8d08b7ebe6573b2a1a816f7eecf

Skill verdict

29/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Best category Politics — edge +12.8¢ per $1 share (95% low −0.5¢) over n=311 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.25 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104”

Bought Yes @ 16.6¢· stake $4.6k· profit $18.4k· November 4, 2024

“2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104”

Bought Yes @ 18.1¢· stake $2.7k· profit $12.3k· November 7, 2024

“Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep ”

Bought No @ 12.2¢· stake $1.8k· profit $11.0k· November 7, 2024

Activity

Resolved markets

18

Cost basis

$34.4k

Last trade

January 13, 2026

Realized PnL

$55.0k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x41f2…eecf a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x41f2899da8ccf8d08b7ebe6573b2a1a816f7eecf) ranks #27 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 29/100 (Moderate evidence) across 18 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).