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Polymarket wallet 0xdbdd…a5de

#31 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →

0xdbdd45150249e229eb4ca8aa48a30dca21faa5de

Skill verdict

27/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)

Last 90 days: 27/100 · Moderate evidence

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.23 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

  • Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner

    Bought ex-MANA eSports at 37.4¢ · stake $1.4k · profit $2.5k · resolved June 9, 2026

  • Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage

    Bought INOX Division at 55.9¢ · stake $2.5k · profit $2.0k · resolved June 9, 2026

  • Reyer Venezia vs. Virtus Bologna

    Bought Reyer Venezia at 23.0¢ · stake $538 · profit $1.8k · resolved June 13, 2026

Activity

296 resolved markets · total cost basis $32.1k · last trade June 10, 2026

Realized PnL $1.8k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0xdbdd…a5de a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0xdbdd45150249e229eb4ca8aa48a30dca21faa5de) ranks #31 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 27/100 (Moderate evidence) across 296 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

Related wallets

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).