Polymarket wallet 0x8cbf…0eb4
#32 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0x8cbfd03e65a79f8ff281faf2b0af3868926e0eb4
Skill verdict
27/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)
Last 90 days: 27/100 · Moderate evidence
Calibrated-null skill z = 1.08 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2”
Bought BetBoom Team at 60.0¢ · stake $6.0k · profit $4.0k · resolved June 7, 2026
“Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2”
Bought G2 at 68.1¢ · stake $2.9k · profit $1.4k · resolved June 6, 2026
“Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)”
Bought Minnesota Lynx at 53.0¢ · stake $1.4k · profit $1.2k · resolved June 6, 2026
Activity
14 resolved markets · total cost basis $15.2k · last trade June 7, 2026
Realized PnL $6.2k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0x8cbf…0eb4 a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0x8cbfd03e65a79f8ff281faf2b0af3868926e0eb4) ranks #32 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 27/100 (Moderate evidence) across 14 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).