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Polymarket wallet 0xb747…b050

#33 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0xb74711992caf6d04fa55eecc46b8efc95311b050

Skill verdict

26/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Best category Politics — edge +4.4¢ per $1 share (95% low +2.1¢) over n=23750 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.76 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?”

Bought No @ 30.4¢· stake $96.0k· profit $212.1k· November 5, 2024

“Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?”

Bought Yes @ 58.7¢· stake $103.7k· profit $127.6k· June 24, 2025

“Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?”

Bought Yes @ 24.6¢· stake $30.6k· profit $100.9k· May 17, 2025

Category track record

Per-category skill scores with confidence intervals
CategoryWindowEdge / $195% CInVolume
Politicsall-time+4.4¢+2.1¢ … +8.0¢23750$8.8M
Politics90d−5.0¢−13.9¢ … +12.4¢239$31.8k

Activity

Resolved markets

914

Cost basis

$15.5M

Last trade

December 30, 2025

Realized PnL

$1.1M

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0xb747…b050 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0xb74711992caf6d04fa55eecc46b8efc95311b050) ranks #33 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 26/100 (Moderate evidence) across 914 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#320x8cbf…0eb4#340x79f2…7620#1zerosmart#2comical-3278221

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).