Polymarket wallet 0x79f2…7620
#34 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0x79f293c48f651baa31c8086a228102f57b127620
Skill verdict
26/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)
No 90-day evidence window yet.
Best category: Politics — edge +4.9¢ per $1 share (95% low +1.0¢) over n=6252 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 1.62 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?”
Bought No at 27.9¢ · stake $36.5k · profit $93.4k · resolved August 18, 2024
“Will Biden finish his term?”
Bought Yes at 61.1¢ · stake $151.0k · profit $91.4k · resolved January 20, 2025
“Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?”
Bought No at 69.8¢ · stake $285.4k · profit $78.5k · resolved November 5, 2024
Category track record
| Category | Window | Edge / $1 | 95% CI | n resolved | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | all-time | +4.9¢ | +1.0¢ … +12.4¢ | 6252 | $7.0M |
Activity
144 resolved markets · total cost basis $10.0M · last trade February 9, 2025
Realized PnL $798.4k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0x79f2…7620 a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0x79f293c48f651baa31c8086a228102f57b127620) ranks #34 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 26/100 (Moderate evidence) across 144 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).