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Polymarket wallet 0x79f2…7620

#34 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x79f293c48f651baa31c8086a228102f57b127620

Skill verdict

26/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Best category Politics — edge +4.9¢ per $1 share (95% low +1.0¢) over n=6252 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.62 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?”

Bought No @ 27.9¢· stake $36.5k· profit $93.4k· August 18, 2024

“Will Biden finish his term?”

Bought Yes @ 61.1¢· stake $151.0k· profit $91.4k· January 20, 2025

“Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?”

Bought No @ 69.8¢· stake $285.4k· profit $78.5k· November 5, 2024

Category track record

Per-category skill scores with confidence intervals
CategoryWindowEdge / $195% CInVolume
Politicsall-time+4.9¢+1.0¢ … +12.4¢6252$7.0M

Activity

Resolved markets

144

Cost basis

$10.0M

Last trade

February 9, 2025

Realized PnL

$798.4k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x79f2…7620 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x79f293c48f651baa31c8086a228102f57b127620) ranks #34 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 26/100 (Moderate evidence) across 144 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#330xb747…b050#350xd0c0…5565#1zerosmart#2comical-3278221

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).