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Polymarket wallet 0x9703…69c2

#103 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x9703676286b93c2eca71ca96e8757104519a69c2

Skill verdict

32/100Moderate evidence (last 90 days)

Evidence is from the trailing 90-day window — no all-time row yet.

Best category Sports — edge +29.6¢ per $1 share (95% low +6.8¢) over n=435 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.59 · q = 0.812

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers”

Bought Seattle Mariners @ 52.6¢· stake $10.8k· profit $8.4k· June 13, 2026

“Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5”

Bought Under @ 47.5¢· stake $4.1k· profit $4.5k· June 6, 2026

“Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers”

Bought Los Angeles Dodgers @ 73.1¢· stake $4.9k· profit $1.2k· June 14, 2026

Category track record

Per-category skill scores with confidence intervals
CategoryWindowEdge / $195% CInVolume
Sports90d+29.6¢+6.8¢ … +42.0¢435$33.9k

Activity

Resolved markets

67

Cost basis

$53.5k

Last trade

June 10, 2026

Realized PnL

−$23.3k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x9703…69c2 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x9703676286b93c2eca71ca96e8757104519a69c2) ranks #103 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 32/100 (Moderate evidence) across 67 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).