Polymarket wallet 0x9703…69c2
#103 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0x9703676286b93c2eca71ca96e8757104519a69c2
Skill verdict
32/100 · Moderate evidence (last 90 days)
Evidence is from the trailing 90-day window — no all-time row yet.
Best category: Sports — edge +29.6¢ per $1 share (95% low +6.8¢) over n=435 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 1.59 · q = 0.812
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers”
Bought Seattle Mariners at 52.6¢ · stake $10.8k · profit $8.4k · resolved June 13, 2026
“Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5”
Bought Under at 47.5¢ · stake $4.1k · profit $4.5k · resolved June 6, 2026
“Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers”
Bought Los Angeles Dodgers at 73.1¢ · stake $4.9k · profit $1.2k · resolved June 14, 2026
Category track record
| Category | Window | Edge / $1 | 95% CI | n resolved | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 90d | +29.6¢ | +6.8¢ … +42.0¢ | 435 | $33.9k |
Activity
67 resolved markets · total cost basis $53.5k · last trade June 10, 2026
Realized PnL −$23.3k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0x9703…69c2 a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0x9703676286b93c2eca71ca96e8757104519a69c2) ranks #103 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 32/100 (Moderate evidence) across 67 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).