Polymarket wallet 0xed88…e838
#104 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0xed88c79dfaa0c36db1d4fa8ea4da612f81a3e838
Skill verdict
29/100 · Moderate evidence (last 90 days)
Evidence is from the trailing 90-day window — no all-time row yet.
Best category: Sports — edge +18.7¢ per $1 share (95% low +4.4¢) over n=235 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 0.34 · q = 0.812
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox”
Bought Philadelphia Phillies at 48.0¢ · stake $6.6k · profit $7.1k · resolved May 21, 2026
“Cavaliers vs. Pistons”
Bought Cavaliers at 24.0¢ · stake $2.1k · profit $6.5k · resolved May 13, 2026
“Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5”
Bought Under at 56.6¢ · stake $8.4k · profit $6.5k · resolved May 16, 2026
Category track record
| Category | Window | Edge / $1 | 95% CI | n resolved | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 90d | +18.7¢ | +4.4¢ … +29.7¢ | 235 | $110.6k |
Activity
77 resolved markets · total cost basis $183.7k · last trade May 17, 2026
Realized PnL −$20.9k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Start on Telegram →FAQ
Is wallet 0xed88…e838 a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0xed88c79dfaa0c36db1d4fa8ea4da612f81a3e838) ranks #104 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 29/100 (Moderate evidence) across 77 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).