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Polymarket wallet 0xed88…e838

#104 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0xed88c79dfaa0c36db1d4fa8ea4da612f81a3e838

Skill verdict

29/100Moderate evidence (last 90 days)

Evidence is from the trailing 90-day window — no all-time row yet.

Best category Sports — edge +18.7¢ per $1 share (95% low +4.4¢) over n=235 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 0.34 · q = 0.812

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox”

Bought Philadelphia Phillies @ 48.0¢· stake $6.6k· profit $7.1k· May 21, 2026

“Cavaliers vs. Pistons”

Bought Cavaliers @ 24.0¢· stake $2.1k· profit $6.5k· May 13, 2026

“Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5”

Bought Under @ 56.6¢· stake $8.4k· profit $6.5k· May 16, 2026

Category track record

Per-category skill scores with confidence intervals
CategoryWindowEdge / $195% CInVolume
Sports90d+18.7¢+4.4¢ … +29.7¢235$110.6k

Activity

Resolved markets

77

Cost basis

$183.7k

Last trade

May 17, 2026

Realized PnL

−$20.9k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0xed88…e838 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0xed88c79dfaa0c36db1d4fa8ea4da612f81a3e838) ranks #104 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 29/100 (Moderate evidence) across 77 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).