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Polymarket wallet 0x9c16…09cb

#105 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x9c16127eccf031df45461ef1e04b52ea286a09cb

Skill verdict

29/100Moderate evidence (last 90 days)

Evidence is from the trailing 90-day window — no all-time row yet.

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.97 · q = 0.812

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?”

Bought Yes @ 6.0¢· stake $6.5k· profit $101.6k· April 13, 2026

“Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5”

Bought Over @ 46.0¢· stake $38.6k· profit $45.4k· March 18, 2026

“Will Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?”

Bought Yes @ 28.0¢· stake $5.6k· profit $14.4k· March 26, 2026

Activity

Resolved markets

13

Cost basis

$170.8k

Last trade

April 9, 2026

Realized PnL

−$856.5k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x9c16…09cb a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x9c16127eccf031df45461ef1e04b52ea286a09cb) ranks #105 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 29/100 (Moderate evidence) across 13 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#1040xed88…e838#1060x44c1…ebc1#1zerosmart#2comical-3278221

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).