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Polymarket wallet 0x6ffb…a834

#85 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x6ffb4354cbe6e0f9989e3b55564ec5fb8646a834

Skill verdict

24/100Early signal (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Best category Crypto — edge +2.0¢ per $1 share (95% low +0.8¢) over n=4328 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 3.63 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Will Trump say "Soleimani" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?”

Bought Yes @ 13.8¢· stake $4.2k· profit $35.2k· March 2, 2026

“Solana Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ET”

Bought Up @ 1.0¢· stake $354· profit $35.1k· January 7, 2026

“Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?”

Bought Yes @ 1.0¢· stake $280· profit $27.7k· December 13, 2025

Category track record

Per-category skill scores with confidence intervals
CategoryWindowEdge / $195% CInVolume
Cryptoall-time+2.0¢+0.8¢ … +3.9¢4328$5.3M
Sports90d+2.5¢+0.9¢ … +6.4¢457$294.7k
Politics90d+0.4¢−0.9¢ … +4.5¢209$265.5k
Crypto90d+0.9¢+0.5¢ … +1.9¢423$1.8M
Culture90d+0.7¢−0.3¢ … +1.5¢382$435.7k

Activity

Resolved markets

10169

Cost basis

$28.9M

Last trade

June 10, 2026

Realized PnL

$523.8k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x6ffb…a834 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x6ffb4354cbe6e0f9989e3b55564ec5fb8646a834) ranks #85 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 24/100 (Early signal) across 10169 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#840xbaa2…2c73#86VesterGed#70x6bab…1292#230x68c2…1711

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).