Polymarket wallet 0x6ffb…a834
#85 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0x6ffb4354cbe6e0f9989e3b55564ec5fb8646a834
Skill verdict
24/100 · Early signal (all-time)
No 90-day evidence window yet.
Best category: Crypto — edge +2.0¢ per $1 share (95% low +0.8¢) over n=4328 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 3.63 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Will Trump say "Soleimani" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?”
Bought Yes at 13.8¢ · stake $4.2k · profit $35.2k · resolved March 2, 2026
“Solana Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ET”
Bought Up at 1.0¢ · stake $354 · profit $35.1k · resolved January 7, 2026
“Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?”
Bought Yes at 1.0¢ · stake $280 · profit $27.7k · resolved December 13, 2025
Category track record
| Category | Window | Edge / $1 | 95% CI | n resolved | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | all-time | +2.0¢ | +0.8¢ … +3.9¢ | 4328 | $5.3M |
| Sports | 90d | +2.5¢ | +0.9¢ … +6.4¢ | 457 | $294.7k |
| Politics | 90d | +0.4¢ | −0.9¢ … +4.5¢ | 209 | $265.5k |
| Crypto | 90d | +0.9¢ | +0.5¢ … +1.9¢ | 423 | $1.8M |
| Culture | 90d | +0.7¢ | −0.3¢ … +1.5¢ | 382 | $435.7k |
Activity
10169 resolved markets · total cost basis $28.9M · last trade June 10, 2026
Realized PnL $523.8k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
Follow this wallet in real time
Get a Telegram alert the moment this wallet opens or closes a position — free to start, no card required.
Start on Telegram →FAQ
Is wallet 0x6ffb…a834 a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0x6ffb4354cbe6e0f9989e3b55564ec5fb8646a834) ranks #85 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 24/100 (Early signal) across 10169 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).