a8999 — Polymarket wallet 0xec54…e8c1
#99 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0xec547d1b3a8fe79762fad95e9bf6244b2742e8c1
Skill verdict
21/100 · Early signal (all-time)
Last 90 days: 21/100 · Early signal
Calibrated-null skill z = 0.79 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner”
Bought Dragon Ranger Gaming at 30.0¢ · stake $960 · profit $2.2k · resolved June 9, 2026
“Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage”
Bought Global Esports at 55.0¢ · stake $2.2k · profit $1.8k · resolved June 9, 2026
“Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage”
Bought INOX Division at 56.1¢ · stake $1.7k · profit $1.3k · resolved June 9, 2026
Activity
33 resolved markets · total cost basis $21.8k · last trade June 10, 2026
Realized PnL −$2.1k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is a8999 a skilled Polymarket trader?
a8999 (0xec547d1b3a8fe79762fad95e9bf6244b2742e8c1) ranks #99 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 21/100 (Early signal) across 33 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).