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a8999 — Polymarket wallet 0xec54…e8c1

#99 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0xec547d1b3a8fe79762fad95e9bf6244b2742e8c1

Skill verdict

21/100Early signal (all-time)

Last 90 days: 21/100 · Early signal

Calibrated-null skill z = 0.79 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner”

Bought Dragon Ranger Gaming @ 30.0¢· stake $960· profit $2.2k· June 9, 2026

“Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage”

Bought Global Esports @ 55.0¢· stake $2.2k· profit $1.8k· June 9, 2026

“Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage”

Bought INOX Division @ 56.1¢· stake $1.7k· profit $1.3k· June 9, 2026

Activity

Resolved markets

33

Cost basis

$21.8k

Last trade

June 10, 2026

Realized PnL

−$2.1k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is a8999 a skilled Polymarket trader?

a8999 (0xec547d1b3a8fe79762fad95e9bf6244b2742e8c1) ranks #99 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 21/100 (Early signal) across 33 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#980xf625…aeb8#100ColdW#1zerosmart#2comical-3278221

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).