Polymarket wallet 0xe5f0…dc1d
#12 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0xe5f0ae9cc9aef77ae3c2a64c9e69caa3f335dc1d
Skill verdict
34/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)
Last 90 days: 34/100 · Moderate evidence
Calibrated-null skill z = 1.53 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5”
Bought Over at 38.8¢ · stake $5.0k · profit $7.8k · resolved June 9, 2026
“Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5”
Bought Over at 55.5¢ · stake $5.8k · profit $4.6k · resolved June 10, 2026
“Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5”
Bought Over at 42.0¢ · stake $2.3k · profit $3.2k · resolved June 10, 2026
Activity
30 resolved markets · total cost basis $25.3k · last trade June 9, 2026
Realized PnL −$1.1k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0xe5f0…dc1d a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0xe5f0ae9cc9aef77ae3c2a64c9e69caa3f335dc1d) ranks #12 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 34/100 (Moderate evidence) across 30 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).