Polymarket wallet 0x71dd…d61c
#13 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0x71dd2d539a793687451d4af8c43169369b47d61c
Skill verdict
34/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)
No 90-day evidence window yet.
Calibrated-null skill z = 0.87 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?”
Bought No at 30.1¢ · stake $3.3k · profit $7.7k · resolved November 15, 2024
“Who will win white women?”
Bought Trump at 44.9¢ · stake $353 · profit $425 · resolved November 6, 2024
“Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?”
Bought No at 29.3¢ · stake $133 · profit $375 · resolved November 6, 2024
Activity
31 resolved markets · total cost basis $10.0k · last trade November 15, 2024
Realized PnL $5.3k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0x71dd…d61c a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0x71dd2d539a793687451d4af8c43169369b47d61c) ranks #13 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 34/100 (Moderate evidence) across 31 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).