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Polymarket wallet 0x2753…e723

#14 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x27536485bdc85add3e6c83bfbb5c0d5f4f05e723

Skill verdict

33/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.47 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET”

Bought Down @ 50.0¢· stake $8.9k· profit $8.9k· November 17, 2025

“Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET”

Bought Down @ 50.0¢· stake $2.2k· profit $2.2k· November 17, 2025

“Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET”

Bought Up @ 50.0¢· stake $2.2k· profit $2.2k· November 17, 2025

Activity

Resolved markets

21

Cost basis

$31.4k

Last trade

November 28, 2025

Realized PnL

$15.6k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x2753…e723 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x27536485bdc85add3e6c83bfbb5c0d5f4f05e723) ranks #14 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 33/100 (Moderate evidence) across 21 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).