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Polymarket wallet 0xe091…9549

#24 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0xe091f3c6406242d00ad05c562a700a21dee39549

Skill verdict

30/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Calibrated-null skill z = 0.77 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Trump wins every swing state?”

Bought No @ 19.6¢· stake $2.9k· profit $9.8k· November 6, 2024

“Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?”

Bought Yes @ 57.9¢· stake $7.2k· profit $5.2k· November 6, 2024

“Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?”

Bought Yes @ 67.0¢· stake $10.0k· profit $4.9k· November 6, 2024

Activity

Resolved markets

16

Cost basis

$33.5k

Last trade

November 14, 2024

Realized PnL

$16.9k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0xe091…9549 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0xe091f3c6406242d00ad05c562a700a21dee39549) ranks #24 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 30/100 (Moderate evidence) across 16 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#230x68c2…1711#250x19f2…0cad#1zerosmart#2comical-3278221

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).