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Polymarket wallet 0x19f2…0cad

#25 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x19f26ee3619f34e80e61f010c4b4ce5775f30cad

Skill verdict

30/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.52 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET”

Bought Up @ 50.0¢· stake $9.2k· profit $9.2k· October 19, 2025

“Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET”

Bought Down @ 50.0¢· stake $4.6k· profit $4.6k· October 19, 2025

“Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET”

Bought Down @ 50.0¢· stake $2.3k· profit $2.3k· October 19, 2025

Activity

Resolved markets

23

Cost basis

$18.6k

Last trade

January 27, 2026

Realized PnL

$16.1k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x19f2…0cad a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x19f26ee3619f34e80e61f010c4b4ce5775f30cad) ranks #25 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 30/100 (Moderate evidence) across 23 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#240xe091…9549#260x2378…5fcb#1zerosmart#2comical-3278221

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).