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Polymarket wallet 0xacba…e6bc

#10 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0xacbad038b8fb4b1b7b1d2c6e006b542ec815e6bc

Skill verdict

35/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

Last 90 days: 35/100 · Moderate evidence

Calibrated-null skill z = 4.91 · q = 0.009

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET”

Bought Down @ 1.0¢· stake $13· profit $1.2k· June 9, 2026

Activity

Resolved markets

17

Cost basis

$6.4k

Last trade

June 10, 2026

Realized PnL

$51

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0xacba…e6bc a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0xacbad038b8fb4b1b7b1d2c6e006b542ec815e6bc) ranks #10 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 35/100 (Moderate evidence) across 17 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).