Polymarket wallet 0xa5ea…d96a
#39 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0xa5ea13a81d2b7e8e424b182bdc1db08e756bd96a
Skill verdict
26/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)
Last 90 days: 26/100 · Moderate evidence
Best category: Sports — edge +20.5¢ per $1 share (95% low −16.0¢) over n=871 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 1.25 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs”
Bought LGD Gaming at 57.6¢ · stake $219.3k · profit $162.1k · resolved June 6, 2026
“Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2”
Bought 9z at 41.3¢ · stake $44.0k · profit $62.5k · resolved June 6, 2026
“LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner”
Bought Bilibili Gaming at 69.9¢ · stake $109.2k · profit $47.0k · resolved June 6, 2026
Category track record
| Category | Window | Edge / $1 | 95% CI | n resolved | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 90d | +20.5¢ | −15.6¢ … +42.3¢ | 871 | $615.5k |
Activity
15 resolved markets · total cost basis $673.8k · last trade June 9, 2026
Realized PnL $273.2k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0xa5ea…d96a a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0xa5ea13a81d2b7e8e424b182bdc1db08e756bd96a) ranks #39 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 26/100 (Moderate evidence) across 15 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).