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Polymarket wallet 0x4e56…dee1

#18 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x4e56f1ddaa8f5328036c449b89e731ec748cdee1

Skill verdict

31/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Best category Politics — edge +1.3¢ per $1 share (95% low −4.0¢) over n=2619 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = -0.09 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?”

Bought Yes @ 19.0¢· stake $20.4k· profit $102.5k· September 4, 2024

“Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?”

Bought Yes @ 61.9¢· stake $76.7k· profit $42.1k· July 20, 2024

“Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?”

Bought No @ 84.3¢· stake $250.9k· profit $31.9k· August 22, 2024

Activity

Resolved markets

422

Cost basis

$5.4M

Last trade

May 9, 2026

Realized PnL

$131.2k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x4e56…dee1 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x4e56f1ddaa8f5328036c449b89e731ec748cdee1) ranks #18 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 31/100 (Moderate evidence) across 422 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#170xd8ca…7229#190x008b…b476#1zerosmart#2comical-3278221

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).