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Polymarket wallet 0x008b…b476

#19 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x008bf350637ce1ea308b3622a0d44116f9f3b476

Skill verdict

31/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Best category Politics — edge +7.4¢ per $1 share (95% low −1.6¢) over n=737 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 0.79 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?”

Bought Yes @ 28.7¢· stake $82.7k· profit $209.2k· January 20, 2025

“Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?”

Bought Yes @ 52.4¢· stake $4.5k· profit $4.0k· February 23, 2025

“Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?”

Bought Yes @ 58.1¢· stake $5.3k· profit $3.8k· November 5, 2024

Category track record

Per-category skill scores with confidence intervals
CategoryWindowEdge / $195% CInVolume
Politicsall-time+7.4¢−1.6¢ … +20.9¢737$272.5k

Activity

Resolved markets

42

Cost basis

$514.1k

Last trade

March 21, 2026

Realized PnL

$227.6k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x008b…b476 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x008bf350637ce1ea308b3622a0d44116f9f3b476) ranks #19 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 31/100 (Moderate evidence) across 42 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).