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Polymarket wallet 0x18f3…0c20

#22 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x18f3136f0984a0531623c81d3080f65b6c300c20

Skill verdict

31/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

Last 90 days: 31/100 · Moderate evidence

Calibrated-null skill z = 2.26 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner”

Bought Karmine Corp @ 52.0¢· stake $520· profit $480· June 6, 2026

“Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs”

Bought Johnny Speeds @ 36.0¢· stake $216· profit $384· June 6, 2026

“Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2”

Bought 9z @ 40.0¢· stake $244· profit $366· June 6, 2026

Activity

Resolved markets

16

Cost basis

$4.6k

Last trade

June 6, 2026

Realized PnL

$2.5k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x18f3…0c20 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x18f3136f0984a0531623c81d3080f65b6c300c20) ranks #22 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 31/100 (Moderate evidence) across 16 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#210tea#230x68c2…1711#1zerosmart#2comical-3278221

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).