Polymarket wallet 0x18f3…0c20
#22 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0x18f3136f0984a0531623c81d3080f65b6c300c20
Skill verdict
31/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)
Last 90 days: 31/100 · Moderate evidence
Calibrated-null skill z = 2.26 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner”
Bought Karmine Corp at 52.0¢ · stake $520 · profit $480 · resolved June 6, 2026
“Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs”
Bought Johnny Speeds at 36.0¢ · stake $216 · profit $384 · resolved June 6, 2026
“Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2”
Bought 9z at 40.0¢ · stake $244 · profit $366 · resolved June 6, 2026
Activity
16 resolved markets · total cost basis $4.6k · last trade June 6, 2026
Realized PnL $2.5k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
Follow this wallet in real time
Get a Telegram alert the moment this wallet opens or closes a position — free to start, no card required.
Start on Telegram →FAQ
Is wallet 0x18f3…0c20 a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0x18f3136f0984a0531623c81d3080f65b6c300c20) ranks #22 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 31/100 (Moderate evidence) across 16 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).