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Polymarket wallet 0xda03…a62c

#97 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0xda03aa12853df66d41eaa3ac2b2ce1222503a62c

Skill verdict

21/100Early signal (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Best category Sports — edge +1.1¢ per $1 share (95% low −6.0¢) over n=202 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 0.26 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?”

Bought No @ 20.0¢· stake $5.1k· profit $20.4k· November 7, 2024

“No Solana all time high in 2024?”

Bought No @ 48.0¢· stake $11.0k· profit $11.9k· November 7, 2024

“Will Man City win on 2024-10-20?”

Bought Yes @ 71.3¢· stake $5.8k· profit $1.1k· October 20, 2024

Activity

Resolved markets

173

Cost basis

$4.7M

Last trade

May 1, 2025

Realized PnL

−$4.3k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0xda03…a62c a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0xda03aa12853df66d41eaa3ac2b2ce1222503a62c) ranks #97 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 21/100 (Early signal) across 173 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#960xee00…cea1#980xf625…aeb8#280xe015…6ffd#300x5faf…27bb

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).