Polymarket wallet 0xda03…a62c
#97 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0xda03aa12853df66d41eaa3ac2b2ce1222503a62c
Skill verdict
21/100 · Early signal (all-time)
No 90-day evidence window yet.
Best category: Sports — edge +1.1¢ per $1 share (95% low −6.0¢) over n=202 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 0.26 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?”
Bought No at 20.0¢ · stake $5.1k · profit $20.4k · resolved November 7, 2024
“No Solana all time high in 2024?”
Bought No at 48.0¢ · stake $11.0k · profit $11.9k · resolved November 7, 2024
“Will Man City win on 2024-10-20?”
Bought Yes at 71.3¢ · stake $5.8k · profit $1.1k · resolved October 20, 2024
Activity
173 resolved markets · total cost basis $4.7M · last trade May 1, 2025
Realized PnL −$4.3k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0xda03…a62c a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0xda03aa12853df66d41eaa3ac2b2ce1222503a62c) ranks #97 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 21/100 (Early signal) across 173 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).