Polymarket wallet 0xd1ed…d7cb
#109 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0xd1ed12197b7dc22dede923727e9b714024dbd7cb
Skill verdict
22/100 · Early signal (last 90 days)
Evidence is from the trailing 90-day window — no all-time row yet.
Best category: Sports — edge +5.6¢ per $1 share (95% low +2.8¢) over n=24329 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 2.75 · q = 0.812
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels”
Bought Athletics at 44.1¢ · stake $105.4k · profit $132.4k · resolved May 27, 2026
“Spread: Athletics (-1.5)”
Bought Athletics at 30.4¢ · stake $9.5k · profit $21.8k · resolved May 20, 2026
“Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants”
Bought Arizona Diamondbacks at 59.7¢ · stake $15.5k · profit $19.8k · resolved June 3, 2026
Category track record
| Category | Window | Edge / $1 | 95% CI | n resolved | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 90d | +5.6¢ | +2.8¢ … +8.3¢ | 24329 | $4.9M |
Activity
4864 resolved markets · total cost basis $5.9M · last trade June 9, 2026
Realized PnL $693.2k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0xd1ed…d7cb a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0xd1ed12197b7dc22dede923727e9b714024dbd7cb) ranks #109 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 22/100 (Early signal) across 4864 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).