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Polymarket wallet 0x8b7e…6a9f

#88 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x8b7e69788fa1145068d0d418c822c6f81d996a9f

Skill verdict

24/100Early signal (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Calibrated-null skill z = 1.39 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? ”

Bought No @ 27.1¢· stake $1.1k· profit $3.0k· November 6, 2024

“Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?”

Bought No @ 27.2¢· stake $679· profit $1.8k· November 5, 2024

“Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?”

Bought No @ 61.9¢· stake $2.4k· profit $1.5k· November 5, 2024

Activity

Resolved markets

36

Cost basis

$16.6k

Last trade

November 15, 2024

Realized PnL

$7.2k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x8b7e…6a9f a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x8b7e69788fa1145068d0d418c822c6f81d996a9f) ranks #88 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 24/100 (Early signal) across 36 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).