Polymarket wallet 0x8725…eb10
#83 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0x87256d0406f876184a66cc158415903bb242eb10
Skill verdict
25/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)
Last 90 days: 25/100 · Moderate evidence
Best category: Sports — edge +7.3¢ per $1 share (95% low −16.2¢) over n=207 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 0.92 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs”
Bought Team Yandex at 34.1¢ · stake $1.8k · profit $3.4k · resolved June 6, 2026
“Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2”
Bought B8 at 56.0¢ · stake $3.2k · profit $2.5k · resolved June 9, 2026
“Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)”
Bought Legacy at 46.3¢ · stake $408 · profit $474 · resolved June 9, 2026
Category track record
| Category | Window | Edge / $1 | 95% CI | n resolved | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 90d | +7.3¢ | −16.5¢ … +21.2¢ | 207 | $23.7k |
Activity
30 resolved markets · total cost basis $12.9k · last trade June 9, 2026
Realized PnL $2.8k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Start on Telegram →FAQ
Is wallet 0x8725…eb10 a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0x87256d0406f876184a66cc158415903bb242eb10) ranks #83 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 25/100 (Moderate evidence) across 30 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
Related wallets
Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).