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Polymarket wallet 0xc9b6…9b6a

#90 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0xc9b6227a295985591fe576ff2e054267a78a9b6a

Skill verdict

23/100Early signal (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Best category Crypto — edge +1.2¢ per $1 share (95% low +0.3¢) over n=199 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 0.75 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?”

Bought No @ 27.0¢· stake $3.6k· profit $8.5k· November 7, 2024

“Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?”

Bought Yes @ 11.7¢· stake $409· profit $4.0k· December 31, 2025

“Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?”

Bought No @ 70.4¢· stake $6.2k· profit $2.6k· April 28, 2025

Activity

Resolved markets

538

Cost basis

$12.4M

Last trade

June 6, 2026

Realized PnL

$52.9k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0xc9b6…9b6a a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0xc9b6227a295985591fe576ff2e054267a78a9b6a) ranks #90 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 23/100 (Early signal) across 538 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#890x0b9b…a65e#910xe6a2…6af8#70x6bab…1292#230x68c2…1711

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).