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Polymarket wallet 0x936e…df07

#80 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x936ef3dd089502e0e7ccc4e74135fcc20167df07

Skill verdict

25/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Calibrated-null skill z = -0.07 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Will Beyonce be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?”

Bought Yes @ 20.0¢· stake $2· profit $8· November 11, 2024

“GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?”

Bought Yes @ 23.0¢· stake $2· profit $8· November 11, 2024

“Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?”

Bought Yes @ 26.0¢· stake $3· profit $7· November 11, 2024

Activity

Resolved markets

20

Cost basis

$60.0k

Last trade

November 14, 2024

Realized PnL

−$1.1k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x936e…df07 a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x936ef3dd089502e0e7ccc4e74135fcc20167df07) ranks #80 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 25/100 (Moderate evidence) across 20 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#790x7aef…0100#810xcc07…9098#1zerosmart#2comical-3278221

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).