Polymarket wallet 0x8975…e6db
#77 of 114 · as of June 10, 2026 · View on Polymarket →
0x8975701caebd20c216ed043fb962efd4b0b0e6db
Skill verdict
25/100 · Moderate evidence (all-time)
No 90-day evidence window yet.
Best category: Culture — edge +9.4¢ per $1 share (95% low −0.1¢) over n=801 resolved trades.
Calibrated-null skill z = 0.71 · q = 0.645
Receipts — biggest verified wins
“Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?”
Bought Yes at 56.8¢ · stake $3.4k · profit $8.5k · resolved April 7, 2025
“Will 'Minecraft' gross between 52-58m on opening weekend?”
Bought No at 71.9¢ · stake $7.6k · profit $3.0k · resolved April 7, 2025
“Will 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?”
Bought Yes at 43.7¢ · stake $1.6k · profit $3.0k · resolved March 24, 2025
Activity
81 resolved markets · total cost basis $247.5k · last trade March 30, 2025
Realized PnL $18.4k — shown as context only; WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.
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Is wallet 0x8975…e6db a skilled Polymarket trader?
This wallet (0x8975701caebd20c216ed043fb962efd4b0b0e6db) ranks #77 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 25/100 (Moderate evidence) across 81 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.
How is this confidence score computed?
It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.
How fresh is this data?
This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.
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Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.
Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).