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Polymarket wallet 0x8975…e6db

#77 of 114as of June 10, 2026Polymarket ↗

0x8975701caebd20c216ed043fb962efd4b0b0e6db

Skill verdict

25/100Moderate evidence (all-time)

No 90-day evidence window yet.

Best category Culture — edge +9.4¢ per $1 share (95% low −0.1¢) over n=801 resolved trades.

Calibrated-null skill z = 0.71 · q = 0.645

Receipts — biggest verified wins

“Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?”

Bought Yes @ 56.8¢· stake $3.4k· profit $8.5k· April 7, 2025

“Will 'Minecraft' gross between 52-58m on opening weekend?”

Bought No @ 71.9¢· stake $7.6k· profit $3.0k· April 7, 2025

“Will 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?”

Bought Yes @ 43.7¢· stake $1.6k· profit $3.0k· March 24, 2025

Activity

Resolved markets

81

Cost basis

$247.5k

Last trade

March 30, 2025

Realized PnL

$18.4k

Realized PnL shown as context only — WalletRadar never ranks wallets by PnL.

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FAQ

Is wallet 0x8975…e6db a skilled Polymarket trader?

This wallet (0x8975701caebd20c216ed043fb962efd4b0b0e6db) ranks #77 of 114 on WalletRadar's smart-money board with a confidence score of 25/100 (Moderate evidence) across 81 resolved markets. The score measures statistical evidence of skill — value-weighted excess hit rate with confidence bounds — not raw profit.

How is this confidence score computed?

It combines a calibrated-null skill test (z-score with false-discovery control), longshot conversion, pre-event timing, and conviction sizing. It is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2) built on top of value-weighted excess hit rate from Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026, SSRN 6443103). It is statistical evidence consistent with informed trading — not insider-trading detection.

How fresh is this data?

This page is a snapshot as of June 10, 2026. The live WalletRadar leaderboard re-ranks every wallet nightly; real-time trade alerts for this wallet are available via the WalletRadar Telegram bot.

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#760xf981…bff6#780xd02d…ac41

Smart-money confidence is a WalletRadar extension (MANIFEST §2.2): statistical evidence consistent with informed trading (calibrated-null skill test + behavioral signals), not a claim of insider-trading detection.

Methodology: value-weighted excess hit rate (EHR_vw) per Akey, Grégoire, Harvie & Martineau (2026), SSRN 6443103; the confidence score is WalletRadar's documented extension. Survivorship note: 44% of users stop after 1 month, 66% after 6 months (incl. 55% of best performers).